Friday, April 03, 2009

One Secret to Life Success

Back in the day when I was coordinating student counseling at a medical school, a student asked for advice about dating and finding the right person. I told him my simple formula: Go on lots of first dates, but not very many second ones. In other words, meet as many people as you can, but only get to know the ones that show promise. If you take that approach, I suggested, 10% of your dates will be promising, 80% will be OK, and 10% will provide funny stories to share with your buddies over a cold one.

The advice, of course, is a variation of "throw lots of things at the wall and see what sticks." Brainstorming lots of ideas helps you find the one or two that make a difference. I must look at 30 different market indicators or patterns before I find one worth using in trading or writing about in the blog. I'll write hundreds of blog posts before a few of them generate the kind of feedback to inspire me to write a book.

The secret to life success is that a kind of natural selection governs our own personal evolution. When we explore various "mutations" and throw them at the wall, eventually one or two of them will prove to be unusually adaptive. When we select those and run with them, success is not such an uphill battle.

But here's the thing: If you throw something at the wall and it doesn't stick, you can't take it as a sign of failure and walk away discouraged. My dating advice was that there really is no failure: only funny stories to tell after you find yourself paired up with the utterly wrong person.

So it is with a job search. I'll go to most any interview; maybe I'll like the job, maybe I won't. Maybe they'll like me; maybe they won't. But I'll make sure I learn something about the job market and what the employer is looking for. That will always help the next time around. Meanwhile, I'll save my rudest "ding" letters and share them with buddies over a cold one.

Now you understand why the trader performance book is so adamant about starting out in trading in simulation mode. That gives you the freedom to try trading lots of different markets, plenty of different patterns, time frames, styles, and setups. Without risking your capital, you have the opportunity to see what sticks; where your niche might lie.

The person who doesn't find success isn't necessarily the person without talent or skill, just like the person who hasn't found love isn't necessarily unlovable. They might just be the skilled, talented person who never threw enough at the wall to find a niche; who never went on enough first dates to find the promising second ones.

Your life is an engine of evolution and you are in charge of the selection. Take enough good swings at the ball and you'll get your hits. The only failure in life is to never swing the bat, to be so concerned about "failure" that you never select for success.

RELEVANT POST:

One beauty of trading is the set of life lessons it teaches.
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18 comments:

Pankaj said...

Wow, such a simple principle but what a profound effect! I think I am one of those many out there that was shy in swinging their bats often! I was somewhat aware of the concept but didn't want to face my fear of rejection - a human trait I thought in my mind. I guess facing this consciously and overcoming it and doing it is what separates the successful people from the mediocre (less successful) people. I have a PhD in Engineering and a great job but I could have had more success if I would have kept swinging my bat to grow my network, learn different skills in addition to my core expertise etc.

Thanks for a great article. Having read it first thing in the morning, I know I am going to have a great day!

Pankaj

Finance Muse said...

This is a great post. I really like the point that the only way to be successful is to keep trying until something works instead of worrying about failure and going away defeated before the good part has even started.

Thanks Brett, I needed this reminder today.

markus said...

That's really one of your best posts!

Cheers,
Markus

Daniel said...

Testing, 1-2-3-4

JMcD said...

Would you recommend dating in "simulation mode"? I do agree that simulations help you get started without a lot of risk, but it isn't full preparation for the real thing.
A trader friend suggested that I try paper trading with this condition: for every long entry I plan to enter, paper trade it as a short. He was right in that I was surprised how often the short would have been the better one eve though I was so sure the technical indicators supported the long position. So simulations are helpful, but I think it's hard for some of us to prepare for the stuff that goes on in a person's head when real money is on the line.

Daniel said...

Testing 5-6-7-8

Brett, Traderfeeders, sorry, but if you can read these two test posts then an odd and rare glitch may have been diagnosed and fixed.

Will post actual comment when above is confirmed.

D.

Zen said...

What a fantastic post!

Dr. S, you have really opened my eyes to the psychology of trading with your latest book. Fantastic work, thank you for all you do for the trading community. Without admitting it, my personal well-being was resting on my EOD P/L... now I am taking pride in my trading, not the P/L, and it has made a world of difference.

GS751 said...

Another post showing why we all love this guy. That post made my day.

Bryan said...

Hi Brett, I've dated a lot of gals in my time. Let me tell you about a few of them. There was:

Warrina Buffett, great brain, a lovely way with words and an eye for quality. She was committed too; she told me that the best holding time was forever. Don't you think that's romantic? I think I will always love Warrina but recently we've been arguing more often - usually about money. She doesn't seem to be able to stop herself from spending on banks and insurance companies.

Jane Simmons. A great head for numbers. We got on like a house on fire to begin with and I even turned a blind eye to her chain smoking. But after we'd been going out together for a while I realised I that I often didn't understand a word she was saying. She seemed to be only interested in me for one one thing and that wasn't my ability with a spreadsheet I have to admit she made me feel inadequate in the area of advanced mathmatics.

Benjamima Graham, she was a lot older than me and I guess I was her toy boy. I was swept off my feet by Benjamima and so impressed by her clarity of thought and classical training. But as time wore on I got fed up with her taking me out to cheap restaurants and buying me presents that were out of fashion. That girl just didn't have an eye for quality.

Linda Hashkey was one of my first serious dates. What a girl, in and out of the market several times before lunchtime. She told me she'd found the holy grail but it didn't work for me. Unfortunately, I developed an allergy to chart patterns and that was the end of that.

Now the point is this Dr Brett, I dated all these girls and could not stop myself falling in love with them. Call me a hopeless romantic or just someone with a lack of judgement but I didn't realise that we were not compatible until it was too late. Recently I've been thinking perhaps it's not them? Perhaps its me? Am I to blame? Well you're a psychologist so don't answer that question.

I have not given up all hope of finding true love though. I have this special friend called Janice Goepfert who I've been seeing for several years. She's not a great looker and she has a contrary nature. She didn't knock me dead when I first met her and she would not have made your 10 per cent cut rule. But over the years she proved to be a great friend - always packed me an umbrella when the weathers been hot and provided a swimming costume when its been stormy.

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Hi JMcD,

Actually that's a great observation: the group behavior of kids in middle school is indeed a dating simulation, a chance to practice social behavior before actually pairing up. Across all sports and performance arts, play and practice precede competitive activity. Only once the fundamentals are mastered in rehearsal mode do performers tackle the pressures of real time competition. Simulation mode is not sufficient for developing expertise, but it does seem to be necessary.

Brett

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Now that's a great comment, Bryan. I think all of us have experienced unrequited love in our financial pursuits!

Brett

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Thanks to all for the feedback and support. I suspect all the best trading lessons are truly life lessons--

Brett

IDkit aka Ana said...

Brett

In a lighter vein:

According to the Singapore government, alarm over a low birthrate prompted the creation of the SDU in 1984.

Singapore's Social Development Unit (SDU) and programs like it have helped earn this tiny nation a reputation as the ultimate nanny state.

The SDU provides subsidized mixers, trips, and computer matchmaking services to college-educated Singaporeans. It also runs seminars and campaigns on "marriage awareness."

The SDU's most recent innovation, however, is "speed dating," a year-old program that challenges singles to get to know each other in seven minutes or less – and, hopefully, exchange phone numbers.

Perhaps, 'speed dating' is what sticks on the wall!

Speaking for myself, I am quite happy watching the world go by.

pdny said...

wow, this is excellent.
great story.

i like it a lot!

ross said...

JMcD, very interesting advice from your friend about going short when wanting to go long and vice versa. Might be worth a shot for me on the sim this coming week.

Dr Brett, great post!

Bryan, very clever comment.

ian said...

Very encouraging!

Thank you for sharing.

Ian

Krasimir said...

I adore your inspirational posts...

nzbryant said...

Wonderful post Brett. Saved it to Word.